LTV scoring

LTV scoring

Predicted 12-month LTV for every new business, within hours of signup.

Events from Segment· Web, iOS, AndroidAttribution: First click + self-reported
1

Signals at signup

Business profile, plan, source, behaviour

2

Retention model

P(active at month 6)

3

Revenue model

Expected monthly revenue

4

Sent to ad platforms

~2.0 h after signup

Businesses scored

2,036

115 still in KYB

Average predicted LTV

$1,521

12-month revenue per signup

Tier A businesses

10%

Top 10% by predicted value

Rank correlation

0.83

Predicted vs actual

Do predictions track actual value?
Backtest by predicted-value decile
Predicted at signupActual 12-month revenue

Top decile captures

34%

of all actual revenue

Top 30% capture

68%

of all actual revenue

Cohort-level error

7.3%

by signup month

Overall bias

-7.3%

slightly conservative

What drives the score
Share of score variation by signal
Expected volume20%
Accounting software connected15%
Team size12%
Currencies11%
Plan selected11%
Industry8%
Teammates invited8%
Viewed pricing5%
Source5%
Signup platform4%
Which campaigns bring high-value businesses?
Cost per signup vs average predicted LTV
Google AdsMicrosoft AdsMeta AdsLinkedIn AdsReddit AdsApp store campaigns

Non-brand paid campaigns ranked

#CampaignCACTier A/BpLTV:CAC
1
Search | NB | International payments & FX▲3
$46144%5.7×
2
Search | NB | USD account Canada▲4
$53038%4.2×
3
Bing | NB | Business banking▲4
$54144%4.1×
4
Apple Search Ads | Category: business banking▼3
$2987%3.7×
5
Search | NB | Business bank account
$52327%3.1×
6
Retargeting | Site visitors 30d▼3
$38913%2.8×
7
Search | Competitor | Big-5 & neobanks▲1
$56419%2.6×
8
Thought leadership | CFOs & controllers▲6
$1,51867%2.5×
9
Advantage+ | Lookalike: high-value funded▲1
$70828%2.5×
10
Finance leaders | Lead gen form▲5
$1,99380%2.3×
Ranked by value instead of CAC, Thought leadership | CFOs & controllers climbs 6 places.
Scored businesses
Click a row for the journey and score breakdown
BusinessSigned upSourceStageP(active M6)Predicted LTVTier

Kootenay Studio Corp.

Agency & marketing · AB

Oct 6, 21:38

Referral programme

Refer a business ($250 bonus)

KYB in review80%$1,434C

Glacier Bookkeeping Inc.

Accounting & bookkeeping · NL

Oct 6, 21:14

Microsoft Ads

Bing | NB | Business banking

KYB in review95%$4,763A

Driftwood Trading

Import & export · ON

Oct 6, 20:49

Google Ads

Search | Brand | Venn

Funded83%$1,657C

Fraser Advisory Inc.

Accounting & bookkeeping · AB

Oct 6, 20:46

App store campaigns

Apple Search Ads | Category: business banking

KYB in review95%$4,855A

Halcyon Bakery

Restaurants & retail · AB

Oct 6, 20:40

Google Ads

Search | Brand | Venn

KYB in review93%$3,750B

Chinook Market Inc.

Restaurants & retail · ON

Oct 6, 20:34

Direct

Direct / unattributed

KYB in review85%$1,865B

Tidal Collective Ltd.

Agency & marketing · QC

Oct 6, 20:33

Referral programme

Refer a business ($250 bonus)

KYB in review92%$3,586B

Prairie Renovations Inc.

Construction & trades · BC

Oct 6, 20:28

Google Ads

Search | Brand | Venn

KYB in review93%$3,925A

Ironwood Labs Ltd.

SaaS & tech · ON

Oct 6, 19:59

Google Ads

Search | NB | International payments & FX

KYB in review83%$1,698C

Glacier Writing Ltd.

Freelancer / sole proprietor · ON

Oct 6, 19:55

Organic search

Google organic

KYB in review66%$737C

Juniper Contracting Inc.

Construction & trades · BC

Oct 6, 19:53

Google Ads

Search | Brand | Venn

KYB in review54%$449D

Copperline AI Inc.

SaaS & tech · AB

Oct 6, 19:43

Microsoft Ads

Bing | Brand | Venn

KYB in review93%$3,765B

2,036 businesses · page 1 of 170